Match Prediction: OG - Team Falcons | Dota 2
DreamLeague Season 22Welcome to EGamersWorld.
We continue to watch the action at DreamLeague Season 22. A new stage of competition has begun at the first major ranking tournament of 2024.
New, actually, sounds too loud: it's the same group stage, but now in Bo3. And we'll be watching the best MENA-region team against OG.
Trying to figure out how this match will end. Will OG be able to equalise their stats in the second group stage at 1-1 or will the Falcons continue to gain and go 2-0 up in the results column.
Let's go.
Falcons form
We start the match analysis with an analysis of the Falcons' form. In this match they will play as favourites with odds to win at around 1.4.
Falcons are a Saudi club that is preparing to conquer esports as a whole. The process is still underway, but even this Dota lineup is already hinting at plans to stay here for a long time.
In general, the tag is not new, but they were not able to achieve special fame. All they did was to play at the local Saudi eLeague. They played there in 2020, with TOP-6 and in 2021, with TOP-3 and TOP-1 respectively.
After a pause of a year, decided to return to the professional scene after Valve cancelled the DPC system. Breaking in with a leg.
- Falcons roster: skiter, Malr1ne, ATF, Cr1t, Sneyking.
The roster was assembled according to the "golden roster" principle. We managed to get two players from Tundra Esports, and at the same time champions of The International 2023 Skiter and Sneyking, Cr1t, who previously played for Shopify Rebellion and previously for EG, ATF, who showed a good performance last season in PSG Quest and before that in Nigma with OG, and closed everything with a promising mid laner Marl1ne.
In the MENA region, where Falcons are based, this squad has no competition even at the skilla level. As it happens, the Falcons have already clinched their ticket to Kuala Lumpur 2023.
First, they passed the open qualification without any difficulty, and then, again without much trouble, slammed the closed part of the qualifiers. In the final, by the way, they beat PSG Quest by a score of 3-1. What one and two are doing in the MENA region is not entirely clear, but come on.
At Pinnacle: 25 Year Anniversary Show Falcons look very confident so far, which is to be expected. They have already earned their place in the play-offs by coming out of Group B in first place without losing a single game in three matches.
The Falcons started their appearance in the Pinnacle play-offs: 25 Year Anniversary Show with a first round match against Level Up. An easy win took the Falcons to The dudley boys and there the Falcons got their first and only loss of the tournament. They were beaten by The dudley boys, who were given a rematch by the Falcons in the grand final.
In the end, the Pinnacle: 25 Year Anniversary Show Falcons took first place and earned $50,000. The triumph at the local championship was the Falcons' first win in the discipline. But not the last.
After winning at Pinnacle, Falcons finished top 6 at ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023 and then started to dominate. In 2024, they won 3 qualifiers: at BB Dacha, at DreamLeague Season 22 and ESL One Birmingham at their home in the MENA region.
Just before competing at DL Season 22, Falcons became BB Dacha champions, earning $400,000.
The first day of the DreamLeague Season 22 group stage Falcons went 2-2, which is not bad, but not particularly good either. On the second day, Falcons played to a draw and got a win, thus coming out with 1 win and 3 draws. It was a similar situation on the third day of play. The play-offs were held after a draw with BB Team.
Falcons started the second stage of DreamLeague Season 22 group stage on a good note. They managed to beat GG, and with a 2-0 score, which will add confidence in the following games.
Falcons most popular heroes
Io (6 matches, 66% wins), Death Prophet (5 matches, 60% wins), Chen (5 matches, 60% wins), Dawnbreaker (4 matches, 75% wins), Earth Spirit (4 matches, 75% wins) appeared most often in spades.
OG Form
Let's move on to breaking down OG's game form. The European club will be playing catch-up in this match, with odds to win around 2.7.
At DPC 2023: WEU Division 1 Tour 1 OG failed to guarantee themselves a top-4 finish and consequently missed out on The Lima Major 2023. Things seemed to pick up during the second round of DPC 2023: WEU Division 1. Then OG made a strong-willed comeback and made it to the Top 4 after tiebreaks.
At the Berlin Major, the team played with two stand-ins and made it to the top 6, but it seems that those stand-ins were the secret to their success. After returning to regular season matches with a full roster, OG looked critically bad, but at the last moment they improved.
At DPC 2023: WEU Tour 3, OG Long Team went down to the wire, but managed to keep their place in the top division by finishing in the top 5 in the third round of the professional season. By the way, at the last DreamLeague S19 OG also took 5th place and this is an indicator, but it is unlikely to be repeated in the new season.
- OG roster: Timado, bzm, Wisper, Ari, Ceb.
After a year-long extravaganza, Ceb is the new OG player. OG resorted to their ultimatum weapon during DreamLeague Season 20, but it didn't help them and OG finished in the top 20.
After DreamLeague Season 20, OG attended another championship of a larger calibre, the Riyadh Masters 2023. Unfortunately for them, they ended it on a Minor note - in TOP-14.
"Closed" the season with a performance at the closed Western European qualifiers for The International 2023. The once two-time world champions failed to make it through the most competitive qualifiers and as a result OG flew past The International.
After failing to qualify for the year's biggest tournament, OG finished in the top 4 at DL Season 21 and ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023 Western Europe Closed Qualifier.
2024 started the year with a run at BB Dacha 2024 Dubai and a top-2 finish at DreamLeague Season 22 Qualifiers. Then they finished 2nd place at ESL One Birmingham 2024: WEU Qualifiers and Top 12 at BB Dacha Dubai 2024.
OG went through the first day of DL S22 very well. The team dryly shut down G2.IG and drew with Falcons. The second day was worse than the first: a loss to BB and a draw with GG. On the third day played two draws: against Vp and Azure Ray. On the last day we played a draw with Heroic.
We couldn't get to the next stage directly and had to play tiebreaker. There OG showed their class and beat GG and Vp in turn.
In the first game of the second group stage of DreamLeague Season 22 the team played against BB. OG showed class and pace on the first, Ledge or on the second and third maps, thus losing with the score 1-2.
Most popular OG characters
Favourite OG characters: Keeper of the Light (6 matches, 83% wins), Phantom Lancer (5 matches, 60% wins).
Most successful: Crystal Maiden (4 matches, 100% wins), Underlord (4 matches, 100% wins), Alchemist (3 matches, 100% wins), Storm Spirit (3 matches, 100% wins), Void Spirit (3 matches, 100% wins).
History of head-to-head meetings Falcons - OG
Earlier the teams exchanged maps during the group stage of the championship.
Predicted result of the match OG - Falcons at DreamLeague Season 22
In this match I expect a dynamic game. Both clubs know how to play fast Dota 2 and have proven it many times. As for the result, I have more faith in Falcons. All the same bo3 is a more comfortable story for them, but OG with the new carry was much better to play bo2. In general, I believe that Falcons will close.
Bottom line: Falcons win.
OG is the 6th team of the world ranking. After missing The International 2023, the team decides not to change the roster and train with the already assembled one. The team consists of Yuragi, Bzm, Wisper, Ari and Ceb. The lineup is strong enough as it may seem. And this is confirmed by the facts. They managed to qualify for the BB Dacha Dubai in the European region defeating Tundra 3 0 in the finals. Also had a great qualification for DreamLeague Season 22, being the strongest in Europe. But a little bit failed at the qualifications for ESL One Birmingham 2024, taking only the 2nd place, but alas not a slot for the tournament. BB Dacha was sad for the organisation. The guys fell out of the group stage and decided that the problem lurked in Yuragi. Sent him to the bench. Timado will be playing in the tournament.
Team Falcons is a new MENA region team with an extremely promising roster. The Arab organisation took Skiter, ATF, Malrine, Cr1t and Sneyknig under its wing. Without much difficulty they passed through the qualifications for ESL One Kuala Lumpur, passing both open and closed qualifications without defeat. Only Quest Esports managed to compete with them in the decisive match for a slot, but they couldn't stop them. But unfortunately at the tournament they reached only 5th place, but considering that it was only the first major tournament for the team, it was a pretty good result. Qualifications for BB Dacha Dubai are going well for the organisation. The only slot goes to them. In the same manner are the qualifications for DreamLeague Season 22. And the qualifications for ESL One Birmingham 2024 are also unchanged. Everywhere they take the only slot. They perform extremely well at BB Dacha, where they manage to beat all the tops and find themselves at the top of the table.
Falcons continue to prove that they are here for the win. Even with unique strategies that are incomprehensible to the average person, they win almost all games. I don't think the OG will compete with them.
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Prediction: Falcons win!
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OG vs. Falcons
DreamLeague Season 22 {{bo3
The bookmakers have Falcons as the favourite and give them 78% chance to win
According to the analysis of individual scores the system gives Falcons a 55.30% chance to win.
OG
5th place in the top
99 matches {{70% win rate
Falcons
21st place in the top
53 matches {{60% winrate
Standings
The Falcons are better in terms of team performance, while the Falcons have skiter and ATF among the top 10 players in the tournament in terms of individual performance.
Head-to-head matches
The teams have no head-to-head meetings
Prediction:
Falcons this year with this squad take out everyone in a row, I think they have every chance to win this tournament, but we won't risk on 2-0 and bet on their win, because OG can impose a fight and try to take one card.
Bet:
Falcons win - 12.5% of the bank
The analysis was made with the help of a special programme, winrate 75%.
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Bookmakers & Statistics
At the moment, the majority of bookmakers unanimously see the team Team Falcons as the favorite of the game with average odds on a victory in the sum of 1.351. OG chances to prevail are evaluated with average odds 3.208 by bookmakers.
How the teams played in the last matches
Last Matches | OG | Team Falcons |
5 matches (wins) | 3 | 4 |
10 matches (wins) | 7 | 5 |
Also it makes sense to remember the statistics of the matches between the teams. The participants in the battle before the meeting played 1 matches with each other. In these matches OG won 1 times, Team Falcons active consisits of 0 wins.